| SPRTSBK Prop Bets and Over/Unders for 2019 are updated in the Sportsbook. (UPDATED 7/20)

252BAMA

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Was looking at the O/U Win Totals list thinking I might catch a freebie with a team playing 13 games because of playing at Hawaii. Of the 8 teams doing that, only Army elected to play the extra game. Strange with the extra week in the season this year. Especially with Arizona. They play there 8/24 and will have 3 byes this year. Can't believe they didn't schedule an extra game in one of those weeks.

Edit: Several of the 7 playing at Hawaii and not playing the extra game have the same off dates. And I am not talking about teams in the same conference. WTH? They could schedule each other. SMH!
 
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TerryP

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Was looking at the O/U Win Totals
As I was setting up the Survivor '19 contest the other day one thing that jumped out to me was the number of games Auburn is listed as a dog. I'm really close to taking the under on eight.

BTW, folks, the Pickem / Survivor pool is open...a long way before the season but you'll need to join the pool at some point if you want to play.
 

252BAMA

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Why is there a $1K maximum wager limit on Miami O/U?
 

TerryP

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Why is there a $1K maximum wager limit on Miami O/U?
... upgraded the Pickem and Sportsbook earlier this morning. I know there was a limit set on O/U's, but that sounds like it was a typo. I'll look at it as soon as I get through with some of the minor details with the upgrade.
 

rick4bama

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@TerryP why not have one on who will be in the SECCG? JA!
 

TerryP

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@rick4bama, I can add games or weeks at any time. It was set up this early to get all the logos/icons for the OOC teams that SEC teams will face this season.
 

252BAMA

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Thought I saw on here that the O/U Win Totals would be updated on May 12th with additional teams.
 

TerryP

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@252BAMA, I said that. I'm dealing with a death and arrangements. I'll get to it.
 

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Once again, Alabama is the overwhelming favorite to win the SEC. However, for the first time in four years, Alabama is not the favorite to win the national title.

That changed the night of Jan. 7 in Santa Clara, Calif. Following Alabama’s loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoff title game, Alabama was no longer the favorite to win the national title. The Crimson Tide dropped to the second choice, behind national champion Clemson.

If Clemson remains the favorite, based on odds provided by the Westgate Superbook, it will mark the first time since 2015 that Alabama has not started the season as the national title favorite. That season, Alabama entered the season as the third choice behind Ohio State and TCU – yet the Crimson Tide eventually rolled to another title anyway.

All week, we will list the national title odds for each of the Power 5 conferences and the top non-Power 5 teams along with the 2019 power ratings from Collin Wilson of the Action Network.

Coming Wednesday: the Big Ten.



Odds to win 2019 national title via Westgate Superbook @LVSuperbook for each SEC school:
Alabama 5/2
Georgia 8/1
Florida 30/1
Texas A&M 50/1
LSU 60/1
Mississippi State 60/1
Auburn 60/1
South Carolina 300/1
Tennessee 300/1
Kentucky 1,000/1
Ole Miss 1,000/1
Arkansas 1,000/1
Vanderbilt 5,000/1
*Missouri n/a

*Missouri is ineligible for the SEC title game following last week’s NCAA ruling against the Tigers. Missouri’s odds before the NCAA sanctions were 300/1



Power ratings entering 2019 via Collin Wilson, the Action Network for each SEC school:
2. Alabama
3. Georgia
7. Florida
10. LSU
11. Mississippi State
12. Missouri
13. Texas A&M
17. Auburn
35. South Carolina
47. Tennessee
63. Kentucky
65. Vanderbilt
72. Ole Miss
78. Arkansas



The Favorite: Alabama
Despite having to replace Alabama’s offensive and defensive coordinators for the second consecutive year and a dozen assistants in the past two years, Alabama is still the team to beat in the SEC. Clemson coach Dabo Swinney is confident Alabama will be in the title hunt once again this year. “I told Coach Saban after the (national title) game, ‘See you next year,’” Swinney said, “because I don’t think they’re going to go anywhere. They’ll be back.”

Alabama is the only team that has made the College Football Playoff in all five seasons, and it is favored to make it six consecutive trips. The biggest reasons: Nick Saban is still on the sideline and so is quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Tide also return receivers Jerry Juedy and Henry Ruggs off last year’s offense, that ranked top six nationally in passing offense, scoring offense and total offense. Alabama again lost a lot of talent defensively, but Saban has shown the ability to reload every season so that shouldn’t be a big concern, especially with the Tide’s recent recruiting success.

Another reason to like the Tide in 2019: since the 2014 regular season, the New England Patriots and Alabama have alternated winning the Super Bowl and College Football Playoff championships each year. The Pats in 2014, 2016 and 2018; Alabama in 2015 and 2017.


Dark Horse: Mississippi State
It’s never easy sledding in the SEC West, but Mississippi State does catch a break in that it gets both LSU and Alabama in Starkville, while its toughest road games are at Auburn and Texas A&M.

Mississippi State returns four starters on defense and seven starters on offense, but must replace quarterback Nick Fitzgerald. Keytaon Thompson is slated to take over for Fitzgerald and there’s a buzz in Starkville about Thompson having the “it” factor. What makes Mississippi State my dark horse candidate? This is Joe Moorhead’s second season with the Bulldogs. There have been a lot of coaches that have had breakthrough years in their second seasons: Nick Saban at Alabama, Bob Stoops at Oklahoma, Pete Carroll at USC and Tom Herman at Texas.

Last year, MSU lost four SEC games to Alabama, LSU, Florida and Kentucky. All four teams finished ranked in the top 12 of the final Associated Press poll. In those four losses, MSU was held to less than seven points in each game. With a more manageable schedule, I think Mississippi State and Moorhead will show a great deal of improvement in Moorhead’s second season in Starkville.


Best Value: Georgia
Based on Collin Wilson’s power ratings, I was ready to put Missouri in this category. The Tigers were 300-to-1 to win the national title, but Wilson had the Tigers ranked No. 12 in the nation. That, my friends, is great value. However, that all changed last week when the Tigers were handed a postseason ban by the NCAA and became ineligible for the SEC or national titles.

With Mizzou out of the picture, I’ll go with Georgia at 8-to-1. The Bulldogs could have (should have?) defeated Alabama in each of the past two seasons in the 2017 national title game and 2018 SEC title game, but fell short. This season, quarterback Jake Fromm returns, without having to worry about being replaced by Justin Fields, with Fields off to Ohio State. Also back for UGA is running back D’Andre Swift, one of the nation’s best, who will have the luxury of running behind an offensive line returning four starters. Kirby Smart’s club also will benefit from the fact they started 11 freshmen or sophomores last season. That should be a huge advantage for the Bulldogs in 2019.

Georgia’s schedule also features only four true road games – the toughest of which is at Auburn – plus the annual Florida game in Jacksonville and a monster home game with Notre Dame. If – and it’s a big if – the Bulldogs can finally get past Bama, they are a legitimate contender to win it all.
 

TerryP

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ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (11.5 WINS)


The pick: Over

Why: Back against the wall, I'm not betting against Nick Saban finishing the regular season unbeaten this season because it's the most favorable slate Alabama has faced possibly during his tenure. The only games you'll need to worry about are Texas A&M, LSU and Auburn. But even then, the Crimson Tide will be double-digit favorites (most likely) in each. This is one of Alabama's most talented teams under Saban, a squad on a mission to get back to the Playoff to try and avenge January's embarrassing setback vs. Clemson. Now if Tua Tagovailoa isn't 100 percent this fall and misses time, this one is going under.
 

alabama mike

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No sir. I really haven't sat n figured it all out.
Maybe this year.
@50+yeartidefan, I had no idea how to bet on games using the over and under but several people explained things to me and I would think they would be happy to help you along if you are interested in playing. Contact @TerryP , @planomateo for a quick, introductory lesson, they really helped me understand. Gentlemen, I hope I did not speak out of turn, if so, I sincerely apologize.
 

TerryP

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@50+yeartidefan do you know how point spreads work?

I've found betting on football as a fun way to stay into the game all day long. The game here...just an extension of that.

I'll have to count...want to say this makes the sixth year we've had this ...
 

TUSKtimes

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@50+yeartidefan do you know how point spreads work?

I've found betting on football as a fun way to stay into the game all day long. The game here...just an extension of that.

I'll have to count...want to say this makes the sixth year we've had this ...

I think I need a little incentive to get this thing started. Perhaps if the sponsors were to offer a lovely set of steak knives to the winner at season's end that would pique my interest?
 

50+yeartidefan

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@TerryP .... really dont know how the betting works....plus...
I am ...awful....at such...
But may try......
 

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