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Sounds right.
Would bet it is a little of both... I think if UA follows through in a timely fashion on the Coleman rebuild, he will be here for the long haul. From what I understand, it took his family (especially the kids) a little bit to adjust (new schools and stuff), but they love it here now. As young as the kids are, and with the wife being happy... I doubt he's going to entertain much that comes his way unless it is something like a dream job (Michigan State maybe?). But the longer he is here, I think the deeper those roots will grow.
Get Miss Terry on the job with Oats wife and make sure she is happy