| MBB/WBB Bama and 2018-19 Bracketology

EasyTider

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Thank the good lord for that! I hope you never reach that point ...hoping we don't find you in a Krystal's in Lundardi's home town ordering tea.
My point is that the same cannot be said for Dinich.
 
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In the world of Alabama basketball, Colton Houston lives in relative anonymity.

Few could pick him out of the lineup of suits on the Crimson Tide’s bench.

But he’s the one with the well-manicured beard, and the work he did at this time last spring takes on special significance this weekend, when the NCAA men’s basketball committee determines the field for the tournament. After all, as Alabama’s director basketball operations, Houston — a Harvard grad from Mountain Brook — is charged with researching opponents and helping organize the non-conference schedule that will factor into the decision to include Alabama in the bracket or exclude the Tide from March Madness for the third time in Avery Johnson’s four seasons in Tuscaloosa.

“It’s extremely important to your chances of making the tournament so you do as much as you can with that,” Houston said. “Coach wants a really deep dive on every team and all of our options. There are a lot of considerations when you’re looking at who you can play, if they want to play you. Do the dates work? Ultimately, you want to put together a 13-game non-conference schedule that in the committee’s eyes looks good and you can win your share of games.”

But did Alabama do enough with the slate it concocted? The Tide is 18-15 after it lost to Kentucky, 73-55, Friday in the SEC tournament quarterfinal round. It was Alabama’s tenth loss in 13 games against Quad 1 teams — a mark that factors into the new NET rankings that didn’t materialize until late last summer after Alabama finalized its schedule for the 2018-2019 campaign.

“Yeah, on one hand it threw a major wrinkle in because [the NCAA] didn’t announce that until August,” Houston said. “Selfishly, we would have liked to have had that earlier.”

But Houston isn’t looking to revise past decisions and neither is Johnson. Instead, Johnson is touting Alabama’s résumé, which includes non-conference wins over Murray State and Liberty — two NCAA tournament-bound teams — and quality SEC victories over Kentucky, Ole Miss (twice) and Mississippi State.

To make his case, Johnson even pointed to a Nov. 15 loss to Northeastern, which earned an automatic bid earlier this week.

“Northeastern is going to the tournament, right?” he said. “Liberty is going to the tournament. I keep going on and on. Look at how tough the SEC is. Outside of obviously the glaring losses, Ole Miss twice, once when they were ranked, a lot of quadrant one wins. Hopefully we'll be able to sneak in.”

It seems far-fetched, given Alabama’s unimpressive record.

And even Crimson Tide guard Tevin Mack was realistic in assessing his own team, saying, “We definitely dropped some games we shouldn’t have lost.”

One to Georgia State and those two to Texas A&M being the most obvious.

But Mack said, “We also got some good wins this season and hopefully it balances it out and we’re able to get in….It’s definitely a little nerve-wracking. But you definitely got to be positive.”

Houston tried put on a good face inside the somber Alabama locker room Friday at Bridgestone Arena, where the Tide rued its latest loss and began to consider the work it’s done over the course of the last season.

Houston was certainly evaluating his.

“The whole idea when we’re putting together the non-conference schedule is to maximize the opportunity to get an NCAA tournament bid and maximize the seed,” Houston said.

Yet the question is whether Alabama took advantage of its schedule in order to realize either of those goals.
 

#80

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Lunardi get's his 'pub' from being associated with ESPN and Jerry Palm from his relationship with CBS. A lot refer to their brackets for answers and I've yet to see a good explanation as to why.

Lundardi, as example, has been in the bottom half of correct brackets called for the last five years running. In more accurate terms, he's ranked 68th out of 111 for bacteriology accuracy. He has Bama out. Maybe he's right.

On the other hand there are two other brackets, Dephi and Bracketville, who are #1 and #2 in accuracy over the same five year period. Both have Bama in the dance.

On a different note:

Is it somewhat ironic that we see so many people criticize Denich on her reports from the football committee and yet we don't see that being levied against the likes of Lundardi and Palm. Have they done anything to establish a credibility factor higher than that of Denich? It seems to me they're in the same boat.
I have followed Lunardi's selections closely over the years and think he does an excellent job usually only missing a couple of teams at most. He is not picking who he thinks should be in but what the committee has done in the past. Not sure who is doing this ranking you mention. BTW Bracketville has us out.

 
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TerryP

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@#80, bracketmarix.com

Had Bama in Bracketviile earlier today... didn't look at his last update date
 

rick4bama

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Would Bama be best in the NIT?
 

TerryP

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Colton Houston


Here is how @AlabamaMBB stacks up against other comparable teams on the eve of Selection Sunday. These numbers are based on @ESPNLunardi latest bracket. Team’s seed or status is in parentheses.

FFO = First Four Out

NFO = Next Four Out

1/5
GAMES PLAYED AGAINST NCAA TOURNAMENT TEAMS:

Texas (FFO) - 19
ALABAMA (NFO) - 18
Indiana (FFO) - 16
Oklahoma (10) - 15
Florida (10) - 15
TCU (11) - 14
Minnesota (9) - 14
Ohio St (11) - 14
Clemson (NFO) - 13
Seton Hall (9) - 11
NC St (11) - 11
Ole Miss (9) - 11

2/5
St. John’s (11) - 9
Oregon (FFO) - 9
VCU (10) - 7
UCF (9) - 7
Temple (11) - 7
Lipscomb (NFO) - 6
Arizona St (11) - 5
UNCG (NFO) - 5
Belmont (FFO) - 3

3/5
WINS AGAINST NCAA TOURNAMENT TEAMS:

Texas (FFO) - 7
ALABAMA (NFO) - 5
Oklahoma (10) - 5
Seton Hall (9) - 5
Minnesota (9) - 5
St. John’s (11) - 5
Indiana (FFO) - 5
TCU (11) - 4
VCU (10) - 4
Arizona St (11) - 4
UCF (9) - 4
Oregon (FFO) - 4
Ole Miss (9) - 4

4/5
Ohio St (11) - 3
Clemson (NFO) - 3
Lipscomb (NFO) - 3
Florida (10) - 3
NC State (11) - 2
Temple (11) - 1
Belmont (FFO) - 1
UNCG (NFO) - 0

5/5
LOL, huge mistake in my fourth tweet. @AlabamaMBB has won 6 games against NCAA tournament teams!!!
 

TerryP

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To summarize this thread, @AlabamaMBB has faced more projected tourney teams, has beaten more projected tourney teams, and has a better winning % against projected tourney teams than the following teams that are “in”: Temple, TCU, Ohio St, NC State, Florida.
Add projected 8-seed Iowa to this list. 12 projected NCAA tournament opponents, 3 wins.

Oh, and this list does not include presumed Pac-12 champion Washington, who has not won a single game against a projected NCAA tournament team this entire season.
“But what about Alabama’s bad losses?” you say. Alabama has two Quad 3 losses, one of which is to 23-9 Georgia State, who is favored to win the Sun Belt today. Here is how that compares to other teams:

Arizona 4 (2 Quad 4)
VCU 3
Baylor 3 (2 Quad 4)
Oregon 3 (1 Quad 4)

(cont’d)
Florida 2
St. John’s 2
NC State 2
Syracuse 2
Seton Hall 2
Belmont 2
Lipscomb 1
Minnesota 1
Ohio St 1
Temple 1
UCF 1
Texas 1
Oklahoma 1
Iowa 1
Washington 1
TCU 0
Ole Miss 0
Indiana 0
 

TerryP

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One of these is Bama. Care to guess?

 

TerryP

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I'll say D.
And you'd be right.

According to ESPN, nine of the ten are in the tourney except team D.

Make sense of this if you can considering this tournament is seeded based on the NET, remember?
 

#80

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Looking over our schedule we only lost to two teams that will not be in the dance TAM and Arky. All the other teams that beat us are dance'n.
 

#80

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@TerryP .... just for reference Lunardi missed only one team. He had TCU as the last team in and Belmont as the second team out. TCU is out Belmont in. You can't get much closer than that. BTW Bama was the second team out.
 
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